One this is for certain, this will be a war. Miguel Berchelt puts his WBC 130lbs World title on the line against fellow countryman and former 126lbs titlist Oscar Valdez this evening. This Mexican battle has been eyed up for a while and finally we get to witness it tonight. ‘El Acaran’ has defended his belt six times prior to this outing with one tick over at the lightweight limit, all of these have ended inside the distance, so it’s not a surprise that him to win by KO is priced at 4/7. It seems likely, but I believe there is too much pride on the line here.
I see a fight where no man will want to give in and unless one of them is caught cold, it will go the distance. However banking on this seems off putting at the 7/2 (Berchelt) or 6/1 (Valdez) odds. Sometimes it’s nice to beat the bookie, but Berchelt is the favourite for a reason, he’s regarded as the World’s best at 130lbs right now and Valdez has moved up from featherweight so there will likely be a size difference when they meet in the ring. I don’t give Valdez much of a chance based on that premise, I just think he’s too small for a giant like Berchelt. There is the important point to put out that Berchelt takes a lot of punches to dish them out, so a Valdez win on points who is slightly the more technical boxer could be possible.
Ultimately I’m sticking with my gut on this one and believe Valdez won’t allow himself to get caught clean. He’s a great talent but it won’t be enough to dethrone the champ tonight. Have to say though, I won’t be blinking on the likely chance that a KO comes.
*All prices are from Sky Bet.